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A question that often arises in discussion is what does and what doesn''t constitute a double top or double bottom.
I suspect from some of the feedback we receive that many readers are still torn between media hype and the underlying reality. This is a real issue particularly when you start off trading, but if it is any consolation, even experienced traders are at a quandary at times as to what to believe.
Well it almost seemed that the hot headline of interest rates would disappear from the daily press. But like it or not the theme is going to be much debated in the coming months.
Our market was again US driven last week. The Australian bourse spiked on Tuesday in reaction to the positive response by US investors to the 8.2% GDP growth in the September quarter. Without taking anything away from the US markets, what is more important is what future level of GDP growth can be sustained? The 3rd quarter growth was largely from increased consumer spending part of which came from a tax cut but also some came from an increase in “fantastic plastic” credit which adds to the lurking “indebtedness” bubble.
Some may think I am obsessed with retracements. But I must persist as it is primary to understanding price movement. Just as markets retrace down when a market rises they also retrace up when the market is falling – this is part of the confusion and uncertainty as the tide changes.